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Vitalik Buterin Endorses Trueo as Prediction Market Moves to Ethereum

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has welcomed Trueo’s planned migration from Base to Ethereum mainnet, describing it as a new prediction-market contender focused on decentralization and ethical design. The move puts Trueo’s dispute-resolution system and plans for wider DeFi integration at the center of its pitch as prediction markets face legal scrutiny and competition. Trueo Says […]

Report: CFTC Eyes Unusual $5B Trading Pattern on Kalshi ETH Perpetuals

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is reportedly reviewing unusual trading on Kalshi’s Ethereum perpetual futures market. This is according to The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), which found close to one million trades clustered around the same $5,500 order size since August. The pattern, which the WSJ said accounted for more than $5 billion in volume, […]

Gemini Signs Apex Letter of Intent to Bring Crypto Event Contracts to Brokerages

The exchange has signed a non-binding letter of intent with Apex Fintech Solutions that would make its subsidiary, Gemini Titan, the exclusive regulated venue for crypto event contracts. According to the press release, these contracts will be distributed through Apex’s futures commission merchant (FCM) to its brokerage customers. Brokerages offering those contracts through the Apex […]

It’s Not Just Baltimore: Kalshi and Polymarket Face More Legal Trouble

Baltimore has taken legal action against prediction market operators Kalshi and Polymarket, accusing both companies of offering illegal sports betting in the city. Mayor Brandon M. Scott and the Baltimore City Council filed separate lawsuits on August 13 in the Circuit Court. The cases allege violations of Baltimore’s Consumer Protection Ordinance and accuse the companies […]

Trump Sued Over $100K Truth Social Feed as Trump Media Eyes Prediction Market Data Deals

US President Donald Trump was sued on August 12 in federal court in Manhattan over Truth API, the Truth Social feed that delivers his posts to paying subscribers for as much as $100,000 a month. Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington filed the complaint alongside Yale Law School’s Media Freedom and Information Access Clinic, […]

195 Days and Done: Why This Crypto Prediction Platform Just Shut Down

Fireplace, the prediction markets trading terminal that raised $1.5 million in February, told users on August 10 that it is shutting down and gave them until September 30 at 23:59 UTC to close positions, withdraw funds, and export their accounts. “We’re shutting down Fireplace,” the company posted. “To everyone who traded with us and supported […]

Teleprompter Operator Accused in Kalshi Betting Case Is No Longer a Federal Employee

White House teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez is no longer employed by the federal government after being placed on unpaid leave over allegations that he used insider knowledge to bet on President Donald Trump’s speeches, according to another official. Speaking on condition of anonymity, the official said that Perez had left his government job but did […]

Robinhood’s Q2 Revenue Hits Record $1.31B as Prediction Markets Fuel 10x Surge in Event Contracts

Robinhood posted record second-quarter net revenue of $1.31 billion, up 32% year-over-year, as activity across prediction markets, options, and equities helped offset a sharp decline in crypto income. The company’s transaction-based revenue jumped 44% to $776 million during the quarter. Event contracts emerged as one of its fastest-growing businesses. In fact, revenue from event contracts […]

Sports Events Push Prediction Market Trading to Record Highs in June

Notional volume on prediction markets climbed sharply in the second quarter of 2026 and reached $113.8 billion, up 48.7% from the previous quarter. CoinGecko found that the momentum accelerated in June, when monthly notional volume surged to a record $50.7 billion, which represented a 92% increase from the average monthly volume of $27.5 billion posted […]

Coinbase Prediction Market AI Claims Norway Beat Brazil Before Match Even Started

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has said the exchange is investigating an AI-generated prediction market alert after the platform mistakenly sent users a “breaking news” notification of a supposed Norway 3-2 win against Brazil in the ongoing FIFA World Cup before the match had even kicked off at the MetLife Stadium. The flash news also showed […]

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